FOREX Alert 9 February 2016 Buy EUR/USD


“Today will never happen again. Don’t waste it with a false start or no start at all”

Today’s Fundamentalsman and ape

Hi there, today will be a pip winning day as we expect the markets to trade smoothly..

The market is still scrutinizing any news from the FOMC and tonight we have both Bullard and Evans on the wires.Initial jobless claims will also be watched to get a first idea of the strength of the US labour market in February.


In focus

Risk appetite returned to the European government bond market yesterday and especially the periphery bond markets, including France, performed well and spreads tightened against Germany. French 10Y yields dropped close to 10bp. However, bunds were also supported and German 10Y yields were pushed below 0.3% again.

German 2Y yields were pushed to a record low of -0.80%, fuelled by the ECB now buying bonds with a yield below the depo rate at -0.40% and the tight repo situation. There is no single explanation behind the sudden support to France and periphery markets. But many investors probably concluded that the spread levels, for example, for France, which we have not seen this wide since the debt crisis in 2012, were starting to look attractive.

Short covering was probably also a part of the story. Reassuring words from ECB president Mario Draghi furthermore supported sentiment. According to Bloomberg, Draghi said that he sees the ECB maintaining an accommodative policy until the end of his term in October 2019. It seems that Draghi is well aware that any talks about ECB tapering or less accommodative policy are very negative for periphery bond markets. The European bond market has also been weighed down by a severe supply wave this week with new bonds from the Netherlands, Belgium, Finland and the EFSF. The supply is now slowing down.


Forex Trade Idea: We are USD bearish today

Today’s Lesson: Do everything with love. 

You have to work very hard whatever it is you choose to do. Your work or your project will dominate much of your time and your life. Therefore, find something that you enjoy doing and do that.


Forex Alert on 8 February 2017 buy EUR/USD at 1.06380

“Today will never happen again. Don’t waste it with a false start or no start at all”minority report

Today’s Fundamentals

Hi there, today will be a pip winning day as we expect the markets to trade smoothly..

We have a light trading calendar with the NZD getting the most fundamental attention later in the day.

Credit: Time: +2 GMT


In focus


Nothing specific.

Forex Trade Idea: Buying EURUSD from 1.06380

We are bullish on EURUSD later in the day as we expect sentimentals to support this idea for now.

We begin buying on the 1H chart when the steam of the sellers dies out at about th3 60% area.

Today’s Lesson: You must prepare. 

The first success principle is preparation. It’s the foundation of success. With preparation you create your own opportunities. Once you have all the different elements lined up, it only takes a small opening to realize your goal.

At the same time, taking advantage of big opportunities without enough preparation means risking your success, as you’re building without a well-laid foundation.

EUR/USD – SELL ALERT – Forex alerts Tuesday 7 February

mad man“If you believe or don’t believe you are 100% right. ”


Today’s Fundamentals

Monday was great, we started selling the USD against all its forex counterparties in the last US trading session and it turned out great (as per the morning analysis).

Today will be an interesting trading day and we started it off with volatility in the AUD and other forex trading pairs.

Before we continue with the forex analysis, there are currently issues arising about a “Nexit” and this has happened recently. The next political risk event on the European agenda will be the Dutch elections for the lower chamber of parliament on 15 March. Benefitting from the rising populist mood, the far-right Freedom Party (PVV) led by Geert Wilders is expected to perform well, whereas established parties from the governing coalition (liberal-conservative VVD of Prime Minister Rutte and centre-left PvdA) will likely see their support dwindle.

Risk-off sentiment hit the European fixed income market yesterday and particularly France and Italy came under strong pressure. The 10-year yield-spread against Germany surged to the widest level since 2012 for France and 2014 for Italy, respectively. The reason is the rising political risks in Europe, where focus is on France and the growing concerns that Marine Le pen could win the French Presidential election after the Francois Fillon ‘fake job’ scandal. The ‘excuse’ or explanation from Fillon yesterday afternoon did little to calm the markets.

German Factory Orders came out negative 3% today.

Rising political risks and dovish speaking to the EU parliament by the ECB’s Mario Draghi weighed on EUR and risk sentiment yesterday. The widening of French government bond yields (and periphery bonds) relative to Germany is driven by development in French politics, where the presidential candidate Marine Le Pen reiterated a pledge to take France out of the euro. A recent poll shows that Le Pen currently has the support of 25% of the voters compared with 20.5% for Emmanuel Macron and 18.5% for Francois Fillon.

This is the reason you are seeing a weaker Euro this morning, but you will see a stronger one later in the day.

Credit: Time: +2 GMT

In focus

This morning

China Special

Chinese leading indicators have pointed to a peak in the cycle for some time. The recent round of PMIs suggests the peak is taking place in Q1.

We look for a moderate slowdown during 2017 as the leading indicators support:

1. Slowing housing market
2. Fading boost from infrastructure

Exports serve as a buffer as they are underpinned by a) stronger global growth and b) a weaker CNY.

The main risk is a hit to exports if there is a trade war with the US.

Monetary policy has been tightened moderately but we do not expect a lot of tightening this year as the cycle fades and inflation is still low.

Forex Trade Idea: USDCHF Selling Continues..

It is important to note that the USDX (US Dollar Index), one of the leading USD indicators, is currently creating a rising wedge pattern, this is a strong bearing technical pattern which indicates the USD will get its butt kicked soon.

We are bearish on the USD from 10:00 am GMT.

Today’s Lesson: Successful Trading Requires…


A strong level of Commitment

A feeling of Confidence

A pattern of Consistency

The ability to Adapt

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This site may include market analysis. All ideas, opinions, and/or forecasts, expressed or implied herein, information, charts or examples contained in the lessons, are for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as a recommendation to invest, trade, and/or speculate in the markets. Any investments, trades, and/or speculations made in light of the ideas, opinions, and/or forecasts, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise

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Recognition of Money Punishment

Recognition of Money Punishment

The introduction Investment capital consequences is the term for punishment by death. As a matter of truth, this discipline success wherein a specific guy, arrested for a investment offence is sentenced to loss of life. Further, its vital to keep in mind in which the term “capital” stems from the Latin text “capitalis” interpretation “regarding the head”, and consequently dealing with the operation of consequences by beheading to blame on the cash criminal activity ( Annie and Samson, 2011). Particularly, a great debate involves the legality of investment consequences. While many scholars consider that cash penalties is inhuman and degrading, a bulk of scholar, on the other hand, argue that funding consequences is the single absolutely sure approach to cure the inhuman acts perpetrated by criminals for example terrorists. So, the ensuing part of this essay looks for to give an detailed disagreement around the acceptance along with non-approval of funding consequence from a glut of countries all over the world.

Body To begin with, proponents of capital penalties believe that community frequently includes a ethical compulsion to defend the well being and protection from the citizenry. Consequently, considering that murderers exist to endanger this interest and wellbeing, the murderers has to be set up to fatality in order for the culture can permanently perform its duty of having its locals secure and safe. Additionally, the proponents of capital penalties aver how the culture have to can be found to aid the measures that typically take care of the best level of proper over bad. Therefore, because capital consequences operates in order to gain and maintain this harmony, these proponents believe that cash penalty will have to be actually maintained inside community (Feinberg and Blecker, 2012). Likewise, they contend that this specific penalties assists the community to minimize aggressive criminal offense. As a matter of reality, the simple existence of laws providing for investment capital abuse is definitely an acceptable deterrence of criminal activity inside the culture because the felony worries the dying penalty in the case they are grabbed.

What’s far more, defenders for the passing consequences contend in which the promises of proper rights are that whomever murders also must be place to fatality. Furthermore, because proper rights sits at the undertaking of equality, it is really unjust to have a legal for being inflicted with lower ache than the damage that his heinous operates trigger. For that reason, the requirements of proper rights are that environment will need to inflict for the perpetrators of investment offences loss conterminous to damages that they bring about to contemporary society. Consequently, the moment the culture metes out death on men and women who purposely wreak similar on people, the investment penalties is the reason why justice is actually performed to any or all (Andre and Velasquez, 2012). Nevertheless, scholars versus money discipline aver that contemporary society boasts a duty to guard human everyday living but not to accept it away from you. In addition, the termination of human being every day life is agreeable only wherever it is really an necessary stipulation on the achievement on the greatest level of good about and higher than wicked for everybody which can be implicated. Accordingly, dint in the cost that modern society destinations on man daily life not counting its liability to play all the way down pain and suffering whenever you can, where exactly an alternative to the funding consequence subsists which could achieve the same target, the contemporary society is responsibility-sure to rebuff money consequences and use the a lesser amount of unremitting optional within the location.

Additionally, the cash penalty can come death charge is not going to be enough with the success of the advantages of safeguarding people in everyone from perpetrators of funds offences who might possibly continuously strike. Then again, incarceration for these criminals for life attains identical desired goals with out powerful the environment to consider their lives. In addition, proper rights is not going to essential oblige the community penalize investment capital offences by death (Simpson 2011). In fact, justice just insists on the indisputable fact that the gravest offences acquire the most draconian abuse especially what the moral ideas with the community would give it time to make an impression. Verdict Therefore, it will be succinct to report that, a superb disagreement is out there within the acceptability of capital abuse. While a few scholars are more significant works with of your university that budget acts an imperative job in culture of cutting down aggressive unlawful activities, a majority of scholars contend in which the position used by cash abuse will be attained by very much the same punishments which do not critical produce taking away of your lifetime of the legal. Simply speaking, this split up judgment needs to be reconciled to wholly allow for approval of funding consequence or conversely, the disannulment of investment capital penalty in our society.

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